The NBA Draft Lottery is set for Sunday, May 12th, at 3:00 PM ET in Chicago, marking a crucial date for Detroit Pistons fans. For the third consecutive year, the Pistons hold the highest odds in the league to secure the number one overall draft pick. However, Detroit’s history with the lottery hasn’t been kind. Out of 14 lottery appearances since 2010, they’ve fallen to a worse position six times, stayed at their expected spot five times, and moved up only once, notably in 2021 when they snagged franchise cornerstone Cade Cunningham.
Reviewing the Pistons’ lottery fortunes over the past 15 years reveals a recurring theme of disappointment. They’ve collectively slipped 10 draft spots lower than their pre-lottery projections, painting a picture of Detroit’s perpetual struggle against the odds.
Recalling past instances of missed opportunities due to unfavorable lottery outcomes adds further frustration. In 2014, despite an 82 percent chance to retain their Top-8 protected pick, they fell to ninth, losing out on talents like Zach LaVine. Similar stories unfolded in subsequent drafts, with notable prospects slipping through Detroit’s grasp due to unfavorable lottery results.
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Looking ahead to the 2024 Draft Lottery, the Pistons once again hold the best odds for the top pick. Yet, their history suggests caution. Despite a 14 percent chance at number one and over 50 percent odds for a top-four selection, Detroit’s track record invites skepticism. Even with the worst record in the league, they could still drop to fifth overall, as suggested by simulations. It’s a familiar narrative for Pistons fans: Detroit vs. Everybody.
